The Timing of Interest Rate Cuts: June 2024 vs. Second Half of 2024 vs. 2025 and Beyond
As of April 12, 2024, there are various possibilities for the timing of interest rate cuts, including June 2024, the second half of 2024, and 2025 and beyond.
1. June 2024:
- Key Factors:
- Signs of economic slowdown and moderating inflation
- Deceleration in the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) growth rate in April 2024 (6.2% year-on-year)
- Representative Experts:
- [Name], [Title], [Institution]
2. Second Half of 2024:
- Key Factors:
- Persistently high inflation rates
- Fed's cautious stance
- Powell's statement on April 5, 2024: "It would not be appropriate to lower policy rates until there is greater confidence that inflation is moving down to our 2% goal."
- Representative Experts:
- [Name], [Title], [Institution]
3. 2025 and Beyond:
- Key Factors:
- Failure of inflation rates to stabilize at target levels
- Exacerbated economic slowdown
- Representative Experts:
- [Name], [Title], [Institution]
The timing of interest rate cuts can vary depending on economic conditions, inflation rates, and the Fed's stance, making it difficult to predict precisely.
Therefore, it is crucial to monitor various expert opinions and economic indicators, including the Fed's position, to stay informed about potential changes.
Although accurate predictions are challenging, continuous monitoring of economic indicators and the Fed's stance is essential.
#InterestRates #Cuts #Timing #2024 #June #SecondHalf #2025 #Economy #Inflation #Powell #Fed #US #CPI
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